Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.003795 0.004151 0.004532 0.004972 0.005466 0.006006 0.006644
2025-11-16 0.003163 0.003655 0.004219 0.004919 0.005770 0.006781 0.008085
2025-11-23 0.002766 0.003310 0.003965 0.004817 0.005912 0.007290 0.009186
2025-11-30 0.002545 0.003136 0.003871 0.004868 0.006210 0.007986 0.010576
2025-12-07 0.002413 0.003048 0.003866 0.005016 0.006629 0.008868 0.012315
2025-12-14 0.002228 0.002870 0.003719 0.004949 0.006735 0.009312 0.013468
2025-12-21 0.002058 0.002697 0.003561 0.004845 0.006765 0.009635 0.014463
2025-12-28 0.001929 0.002569 0.003450 0.004794 0.006861 0.010057 0.015660
2026-01-04 0.001842 0.002490 0.003402 0.004825 0.007080 0.010686 0.017284
2026-01-11 0.001737 0.002378 0.003297 0.004761 0.007138 0.011053 0.018491
2026-01-18 0.001649 0.002286 0.003213 0.004719 0.007223 0.011470 0.019846
2026-01-25 0.001565 0.002193 0.003122 0.004658 0.007269 0.011818 0.021113
2026-02-01 0.001500 0.002129 0.003075 0.004672 0.007457 0.012466 0.023143
2026-02-08 0.001425 0.002046 0.002993 0.004623 0.007533 0.012924 0.024880
2026-02-15 0.001346 0.001953 0.002890 0.004529 0.007517 0.013201 0.026270
2026-02-22 0.001305 0.001914 0.002871 0.004576 0.007764 0.014022 0.029059
2026-03-01 0.001283 0.001906 0.002902 0.004713 0.008192 0.015270 0.033145
2026-03-08 0.001226 0.001837 0.002826 0.004651 0.008228 0.015691 0.035248
2026-03-15 0.001167 0.001762 0.002734 0.004554 0.008182 0.015929 0.036918
2026-03-22 0.001121 0.001705 0.002672 0.004507 0.008233 0.016388 0.039305
2026-03-29 0.001090 0.001674 0.002652 0.004537 0.008446 0.017248 0.043059
2026-04-05 0.001047 0.001620 0.002587 0.004477 0.008462 0.017644 0.045523
2026-04-12 0.001011 0.001574 0.002536 0.004438 0.008519 0.018148 0.048461